Technical Analysis
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Value Discount
Value stocks outperformed through mid-February this year as investors repriced expensive growth stocks. Mounting inflation and rising interest rates are creating conditions for broader value recovery, particularly for companies with solid business fundamentals. Style return patterns have been erratic over 2021, where returns of global value stocks and growth stocks flip-flopped, and both cohorts ended… Continue reading
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Why Market Timers Fail?
The stock market has seasonal effects and calendar anomalies, such as the so-called January effect, the Halloween effect, the best six-month strategy and the presidential election cycle. Seasonal and cyclical market-timing strategies challenge the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Market timing represents a short-term bet against long-term asset-allocation targets, where market timers hope to enhance total… Continue reading
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The Halloween Effect Revisit 万圣节效应
Historically, stocks tend to outperform in November, stall in December and January, and then resume higher in February and March. Stock markets have seasonal effects and calendar anomalies, which challenge the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The Halloween effect conveys investors’ belief that the average equity returns of November through April are significantly stronger than the… Continue reading
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Summary on Technical Analysis of Commodities 商品期货投资技术分析
Technical analysis is popular among commodities managers since they tend to be short-term traders. They look for temporary profit opportunities – futures contracts usually have short expiration periods. Technical analysis can generally be boiled down into charts/patterns, and indicators. Patterns are like head and shoulders, rectangles, and island reversals; indicators, on the other hand, are… Continue reading
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DR.CHENJIAZI ZHONG 